Stats Inc.: Yankees Face Long Odds Entering 4th Game of ALCS

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From the Offices of Stats, Inc.

Ø Teams that trail 2-1 in best-of-seven playoff series are 41-98 (.295) in those series all-time. The Yankees have a winning series record in such situations (8-5) but lost the 2017 ALCS to the Astros, 4-3, when most recently confronted with this scenario.

Ø Astros starters have gone at least 6.0 innings in each game of this series, allowing a total of five runs over 19.2 frames (2.29 ERA). Yankees starters have gone just 12.2 innings, tied with the 2016 Indians for the fourth-fewest innings thrown by a team’s starting pitchers through three games of an ALCS all-time.

Ø Houston’s hitters struck out an MLB-low 1166 times in the regular season, averaging one strikeout every 5.48 plate appearances. In the postseason, Astros batters are striking out once every 3.67 plate appearances, fourth highest among the 10 teams that made the postseason.

Ø New York picked up four extra-base hits (1 2B, 3 HR) in its Game 1 win but has three (1 2B, 2 HR) in the two games since. The Yankees are 90-23 across the regular season and postseason when picking up at least three extra-base hits, best in MLB, compared to 17-38 when slugging two or fewer.

Ø Jose Altuve averages one home run every 13.58 AB in the postseason (38.95 in regular season). Altuve’s AB/HR ranks third all-time among infielders with at least 100 postseason at-bats, trailing only Lou Gehrig (11.90) and Evan Longoria (12.78). The Astros are 9-1 in the playoffs when Altuve goes deep, tied with Javy Lopez for the best team record in a player’s postseason games with a home run (min. 10 games).

Ø Gleyber Torres is slashing .417/.481/.958 with three home runs and 10 RBI this postseason. Torres is 22 years old – the only Yankee with more postseason home runs than Torres at age 22 or younger is Mickey Mantle (four).

Ø Zack Greinke took the loss in Game 1, allowing three runs over 6.0 innings. He has allowed five home runs in two starts this postseason, one shy of Rick Reed (2002 Min) for the most home runs allowed in a pitcher’s first two starts of a postseason all-time.

Ø Masahiro Tanaka has a 1.32 ERA through seven career postseason starts. Only two Yankees all-time have posted a lower mark through seven postseason starts – Hall-of-Famer Waite Hoyt (1.23, 1921-26) and Orlando Hernandez (1.24, 1998-2000).