THE LOCKSMITH AND A JERSEY GUY/Pick Six: Week 12

The Locksmith is hot with his picks. Can he keep it up?

When you are hot, you are hot, when you are not, you are not.

And who can argue with our friend The Locksmith posting a 7-1 record in the last four weeks, while we muddle along--although we did climb back over the .500 mark after posting a 4-2 record last week--trying to keep pace.

So let's go to the new leader in the clubhouse to show us and you the way.

THE GAMES

The Locksmith

Nebraska (-1.5) at Michigan State

Cincinnati at UCF (-7)

A Jersey Guy

Indiana at Michigan, O/U 53.5

Wisconsin at Purdue O/U 52

Penn State at Rutgers O/U 50

North Carolina State at Louisville O/U 63.5

New Mexico State at BYU O/U 56

Syracuse vs. Notre Dame (Yankee Stadium) O/U 65

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THE PICKS

The Locksmith

NEBRASKA over Michigan State, taking 1 1/2

We're starting out Scott Frost Daily Double with his current squad, with the improving Cornhuskers looking like a team that has finally come to life and responded to his coaching. With dual threat QB Adrian Martinez and RB David Ozigbo, Nebraska should be able to penetrate this stout Michigan State defense -- if the Spartans have anything left to give, that is. Last week's wrenching loss to Ohio State combined with QB issues and an offense that has not scored more than 24 points in the past six games, makes this a game MSU just might be disinterested in. The Spartans are bowl eligible already anyway. Nebraska looks like a new team after winning three of four following an 0-6 start, with the only loss in the recent stretch by five points to Ohio State.

UCF over Cincinnati, giving 7

After clamoring for national attention the past two years, the Knights finally have it -- a prime time game, College Game Day on campus and a chance to impress the entire country. QB McKenzie Milton has been through this type of atmosphere before so he shouldn't be affected. The same can't be said for Cincy, a year ahead of schedule with its youthful roster. Check the Bearcats' schedule and this is what you find out about their 9-1 record: The only good team they faced (Temple) they lost to. So their unexpected success is also a byproduct of a weak schedule. UCF needs this game to keep its playoff pulpit intact. The Knights, tested and riding a 22-game winning streak, will not disappoint at home.

LAST WEEK: 2-0

SEASON TO DATE VS. SPREAD: 14-8

Home team in CAPs

A Jersey Guy

Indiana at Michigan

Michigan is cruising toward a showdown next week against Ohio State, while Indiana needs one more win to become bowl eligible. Potential "Look ahead'' danger game for the Wolverines, but DC Don Brown's defense won't let things get away completely. The under at 53.5 looks too good to pass up.

The Score

Michigan 27, Indiana 14

Wisconsin at Purdue

Disappointment could probably be the word used for both of these teams, who somehow allowed Northwestern to squeeze through into the Big Ten West title. Now the pressure is off and this might look like a 7-on-7 scrimmage. The over/Under is 51. Taking the Over, which barring a snowstorm might be hit by halftime

The Score

Purdue 42, Wisconsin 37

P******enn State at Rutgers**

Old fashioned Eastern rivalry played out each year in the Big Ten. Penn State is a few missed plays away from being a Final Four contender, while Rutgers is...well..Rutgers. The O/U line is really low at 49.5 which scares us a bit since Penn State might score 40 by itself and the Nittany Lions defense has seldom roared this season. Taking the Over looks safe

The Score

Penn State 41, Rutgers 24

NC State at Louisville

Louisville is a combat zone, littered with debris after the announcement that Coach Bobby Petrino and several members of his family had been fired. How the Cardinals will react remains to be seen, but they didn't pick up any talent in the past few days and NC State can score against almost anyone not named Clemson. Like over at 63.5

The Score

NC State 51, Louisville 21

New Mexico State at BYU

BYU is just average, New Mexico State is just bad and trying to get through the next few weeks. Lots of points to be had here, which makes any over under 60 attractive. 56 looks really good

The Score

BYU 49, New Mexico State 21

Syracuse vs. Notre Dame (Yankee Stadium)

Vegas boys have ND as 11 point favorites, which looks a little high, considering the way Syracuse can play offense, in which should be a semi-friendly setting. But ND is capable of turning a couple of late turnovers into TDs. So the Over Under line (62) may be the way to go, but we will gamble they come up a bit short and take the under

The Score

Notre Dame 31, Syracuse 27

Record last week: 4-2

Season to date: 33-32-1

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